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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 2/23/2023

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Nikola Jokic has scored 34.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 7.1 higher than he's scored overall this year.
  • Nikola Jokic has made 57.7% of his shots from the field away from his home court this year, putting him in the 90th percentile among all players in the league.
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
  • The matchup against the Cavaliers is a favorable one; they have given up the 21st-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting Cs over the last 15 games (15.3).
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Nikola Jokic has accumulated 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's accumulated overall this year.
  • The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games at home, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against the Cavaliers is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted just 2.3 foul shots per game this year (15th-least in the league).
  • Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player production for all stats.

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