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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 2/15/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has made 40.9% of his three-pointers this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Nikola Jokic has played 32.9 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

The Denver Nuggets have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing at home.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Nikola Jokic has attempted 6.3 foul shots per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has attempted a mere 15.0 shots from the field per game this year, significantly less than his 17.9 rate last year.

The matchup vs. Dwight Powell is a hard one for field goal attempts; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 7.5 field goals per game (4th percentile).

The Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace in the league on the road this year, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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