Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 2, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-122/-104).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has converted 10.8 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
Nikola Jokic has converted 52.8% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 10.1% more than he's converted over the course of the season.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 89th percentile.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games playing at home.
The Warriors have played at the fastest pace in the league this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Nuggets.

Favors Under

This matchup is a difficult one for three-pointers; opposing teams have shot for the lowest three rate in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road (40.4%).
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a challenging one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the least shot attempts per game in the league over the last 20 games (2.0).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Warriors is a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted a mere 26.2 foul shots per game this year (least in the league).

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