Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 31, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has made 78.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 12.6% higher than he's made over the course of the year on his home court.
Nikola Jokic has made 54.2% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 11.2% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season.
Nikola Jokic has attempted 6.3 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games with the home court advantage.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Pelicans is a hard one; they have given up the 7th-least points per game in the league to opposing teams over the last 20 games without the home court advantage (119.1).
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a challenging one for attempts from downtown; while playing on the road, the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 4th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (5.0).
The matchup vs. the Pelicans may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted just 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (7th-least in the league).

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