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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 1/17/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has sunk 9.4 baskets per game this year, putting him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.

Nikola Jokic has made 64.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games at home, 14.1% higher than he's converted in all games this year while at home.

Nikola Jokic has attempted 6.4 free throws per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Nikola Jokic has tallied 32.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 87th percentile.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a tough one for 3-pointers; opposing teams have totaled the 7th-least 3-pointers per game in the league since the start of last season (13.0).

The Denver Nuggets have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year with the home court advantage (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Trail Blazers.

The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a challenging one for scoring; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 8th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (45.8%).

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