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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 1/5/2023

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has successfully made 11.1 baskets per game over the last 15 games, 1.5 higher than he's sunk overall this season.

Nikola Jokic has made 54.2% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 14.8% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season.

Nikola Jokic has played 33.6 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Clippers may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted a colossal 21.9 free throws per game this year (4th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (88th percentile).

While playing away from home, the Clippers have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.

The Nuggets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Clippers.

The matchup vs. the Clippers is a tough one for threes; the opposing team's starting Cs have averaged the 7th-least shots from downtown per game in the NBA since the start of last season (0.4).

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