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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2022

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has sunk 11.1 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Nikola Jokic has converted 66.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 29.0% higher than he's made from three over the course of the season.

Nikola Jokic has attempted 8.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Nikola Jokic has averaged 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's averaged in all games this season.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league while playing away from home this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Kings is a difficult one for shots from the field; the other team have tallied the 6th-least shots made from the field per game in the league this year (42.8).

The Denver Nuggets have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Kings is a hard one for attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting Cs have averaged the 2nd-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (0.8).

The matchup against Domantas Sabonis is a challenging one for three-pointers; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have averaged just 0.3 three-pointers per game (97th percentile).

The matchup against Domantas Sabonis may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; when facing fellow starting Cs, they have attempted a lowly 2.7 foul shots per game this year while playing at home (77th percentile).

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