Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 3:08 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+118/-154).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +126 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic measures in the 79th percentile for three-point ability away from home with a a phenomenal 52.0% rate this year.
Nikola Jokic has played 33.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 92nd percentile.
This year, opposing clubs have averaged 34.1% on three-pointers (9th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, branding this as a hard matchup.
The matchup vs. Golden State is a good one for three-pointers; when the Golden State Warriors are playing at home, opposing starting Cs have averaged the 22nd-most three-pointers per game in the NBA since the start of last season (0.6).
The Nuggets will likely get a boost in plays today from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 8 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has averaged 0.0 technical fouls per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The Nuggets have been the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA away from their home court this year with respect to 3-point attempts.
The 5th-least up-tempo pace road team in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
While on the road, the Golden State Warriors have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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