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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 6/4/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+164/-215).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has made 1.9 threes per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season.

Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 40.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.9 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

While playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to boosts player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The matchup against Miami is a challenging one for three-point attempts; when the Heat are the visiting squad, the other team's starting Cs have totaled the 8th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (1.2).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing at home.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.

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