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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 6/1/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has sunk 1.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season.

Nikola Jokic has averaged 40.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 more than he's averaged in all games this year.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

While playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally boosts player production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's committed in all games this year.

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to three-point attempts.

The matchup against Miami is a challenging one for threes; when the Heat are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting Cs have tallied the 2nd-least treys per game in the league this year (0.4).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court.

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.

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