Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/18/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · May 18, 2023

Updated May 18, 2023 10:46 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +149 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has successfully made 51.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 11.2% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season.
Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 38.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.9 more than he's been on the court for overall this season.
The matchup against the Lakers is a favorable one for attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting Cs have averaged the 22nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (1.6).
The Lakers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should increase possessions for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home.
The Lakers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

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