Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has successfully made 60.8% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 25.2% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season away from his home court.
Nikola Jokic has played 33.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 89th percentile.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a strong one for attempts from downtown; when Adebayo is at home and squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 2.2 three-pointers per game (100th percentile).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (85th percentile).
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to fewer plays for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jokic will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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