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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has compiled 9.6 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this metric: 100th percentile.

Nikola Jokic has averaged 32.0 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

The Nuggets are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 7th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings).

The Denver Nuggets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are on their home court, the other team has captured 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Kings (shortening possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated overall this season at home.

The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease stat production across the board.

More Nikola Jokic Player Props

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