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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 11/26/2023

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has compiled an impressive 9.4 assists per game this season, quite a bit more than his 10.6 assists per game last season.

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic registers in the 87th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 33.3 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.

The Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to raise possessions for the Nuggets.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 10thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

This year when they are on the road, the other team has grabbed 7.6 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Spurs (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.3 more than he's accumulated overall this season on the road.

The 4th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

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