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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 6/12/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has totaled 10.7 assists per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this standard.

Nikola Jokic has averaged 39.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.3 higher than he's averaged overall this season.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

While on the road, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to increases stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has averaged 3.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.

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