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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 6/9/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has put up 9.9 assists per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- among the league leaders by this standard over this stretch of games.

Nikola Jokic has tallied 39.8 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.5 more than he's tallied in all games this year.

The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season on the road.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road.

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player production in all stat categories.

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