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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 6/4/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-156/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -156.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has totaled 10.9 assists per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this standard.

Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 40.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.9 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

While playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to boosts player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing at home.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.

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