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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 6/1/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-155/+125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has posted 10.8 assists per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 100th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this standard.

Nikola Jokic has averaged 40.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 more than he's averaged in all games this year.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

While playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally boosts player production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's committed in all games this year.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court.

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.

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