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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 5/16/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-154/+118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -154.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Nikola Jokic has averaged 10.7 assists per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 100th percentile -- among the league leaders by this metric.
  • Nikola Jokic has played 38.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 higher than he's played overall this year.
  • The Lakers have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league away from their home city this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Nikola Jokic will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually improves stat production in all facets of the game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Nikola Jokic has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games at home.
  • The Lakers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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