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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 4/29/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -149 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Nikola Jokic has put up 11.0 assists per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 100th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this standard.
  • Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 91st percentile.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Nikola Jokic will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually increases player performance in all facets of the game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Nikola Jokic has accumulated 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's accumulated overall this season.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
  • The Suns have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Nuggets.
  • The Suns have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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