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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 4/23/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has put up a terrific 9.8 assists per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 7.8 assists per game last season.

Nikola Jokic has played 33.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 90th percentile.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for overall this year.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home.

The Timberwolves have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Nuggets.

The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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