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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 4/21/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+112/-138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has totaled a terrific 9.8 assists per game this year, a big improvement over his 7.8 assists per game last year.

Nikola Jokic has played 33.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (86th percentile).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets.

The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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