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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 4/16/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has tallied 11.1 assists per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard.

Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile.

The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to raises player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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