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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-154/+118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -154.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Nikola Jokic has compiled a terrific 9.9 assists per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 7.8 assists per game last year.
  • Nikola Jokic has played 33.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 91st percentile.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Nikola Jokic has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (85th percentile).
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
  • The Rockets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.
  • Playing at home, the Rockets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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