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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 3/22/2023

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has totaled a terrific 9.9 assists per game this year, a big improvement over his 7.8 assists per game last year.

Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (84th percentile).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Wizards have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

While playing at home, the Wizards have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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