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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 3/18/2023

New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Nikola Jokic has tallied 7.8 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 99th percentile.
  • Nikola Jokic has averaged 32.1 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
  • Playing at home, the Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Nikola Jokic has accumulated 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's accumulated in all games this season.
  • The Knicks have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Nikola Jokic will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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