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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 3/14/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has posted 7.8 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 99th percentile.

Nikola Jokic has averaged 32.1 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Playing at home, the Raptors have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.

The Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lowers player performance across the board.

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