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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 3/3/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has posted 7.8 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 99th percentile.

Nikola Jokic has averaged 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 4.6 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

The Grizzlies have played at the fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Nuggets.

Nikola Jokic will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually boosts player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's accumulated overall this year.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Grizzlies have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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