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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 2/28/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+107/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -139.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has tallied 7.8 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 99th percentile.

Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Rockets have played at the fastest pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should raise opportunities for the Nuggets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's accumulated in all games this year.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Rockets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player production across the board.

More Nikola Jokic Player Props

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