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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 2/9/2023

Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has posted a terrific 10.2 assists per game this year, a significant increase from his 7.8 assists per game last year.

Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 89th percentile.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Magic have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (86th percentile).

The Magic have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to lowers player production across the board.

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