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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 12/28/2022

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-150/+124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has totaled 12.0 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's totaled over the course of the season.

Nikola Jokic has averaged 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's averaged in all games this season.

The Kings have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to the other team this year (which can also produce new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled over this stretch.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production across the board.

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