Nicolas Claxton Points - Player Prop Bet 2/29/2024

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Nicolas Claxton

NBA · Player Props

Nicolas Claxton

F-C · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Atlanta Hawks · Feb 29, 2024

Updated Mar 1, 2024 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

Nicolas Claxton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nic Claxton has converted 62.5% of his shots from the field while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Nic Claxton has tallied 29.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 77th percentile.
The Nets will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Atlanta Hawks).
The Brooklyn Nets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Nic Claxton has failed to make 1.1 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit less than his 1.5 rate last year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Nic Claxton registers in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game playing at home this year.
When it comes to offense, the Nets's unimpressive 99.0 points per game places worst in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup against Clint Capela is a hard one for three-point attempts; when defending other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 1.1 treys per game (3rd percentile).
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.
The Hawks have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

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