Nicolas Claxton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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Nicolas Claxton

NBA · Player Props

Nicolas Claxton

F-C · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 3:53 AM EST

Analysis

Nicolas Claxton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 0.0% rate, Nic Claxton's three-point performance has increased this season to 100.0%.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase possessions for the Nets.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets rank 1stbest in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
In contrast to last year's 57.9% rate, Nic Claxton's free-throw ability has surged this year to 65.7%.
Nic Claxton will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to improve player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The number of points logged against Duop Reath has been very low (12.5 per game) when he is on the visiting team and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (10th percentile).
The 3rd-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.
This year when they are on their home court, the other team has secured 11.9 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers (retaining possessions that can generate additional chances for offense).
As a team, the Nets have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: 9th-worst in the league this year, tallying a measly 22.0 free throw attempts per game.
The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Duop Reath has been remarkably low this year (2.2 free throw attempts per game: 3rd percentile).

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