Nicolas Claxton Points - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

NBA · Player Props

Nicolas Claxton

F-C · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs New York Knicks · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 3:56 AM EST

Analysis

Nicolas Claxton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nic Claxton has sunk 65.0% of his shots from the field this year, ranking in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league.
In contrast to last year's 0.0% rate, Nic Claxton's three-point efficiency has surged this year to 100.0%.
The clash with Isaiah Hartenstein rates in the 79th percentile with the opposing team's starting Cs burying a whopping 39.2% of their three-pointers this year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nets grade out 1stbest in in the league with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The New York Knicks have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This matchup is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing clubs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the league over the last 15 games when the Knicks are the visiting team (36.4).
The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest tempo offense in the league this year (the Knicks).
In terms of getting to the charity stripe, the Brooklyn Nets's subpar 19.5 free throws per game with the home court advantage measures as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Isaiah Hartenstein is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; when Hartenstein is on the visiting team and matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.2 foul shots per game (14th percentile).