Nicolas Claxton Points - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2023

NBA · Player Props

Nicolas Claxton

F-C · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Brooklyn Nets · Feb 24, 2023

Updated Feb 25, 2023 3:32 AM EST

Analysis

Nicolas Claxton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nicolas Claxton has sunk 82.6% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 14.5% more than he's made over the course of the year.
The Brooklyn Nets have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court.
The matchup vs. Chicago is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Bulls are at home, the other team's starting Cs have shot for the 26th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (37.1%).
The Bulls have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost opportunities for the Nets.
With the home court advantage, the Bulls have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Nicolas Claxton has successfully made 0.0% of his 3-point shots since the start of last season, ranking him in the 3rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 8th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Brooklyn Nets have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Chicago may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted just 1.8 free throws per game over the last 15 games when the Bulls are on their home court (13th-least in the NBA).
Nicolas Claxton will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally reduces player production for all stats.