Nick Richards Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Nick Richards

C · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 17, 2023

Updated Mar 17, 2023 9:51 PM EST

Analysis

Nick Richards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nick Richards has tallied 1.2 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 19th percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled.
The matchup against Philadelphia is a positive one for three-point attempts; when the 76ers are on the road, opposing starting Cs have averaged the 24th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (1.9).
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Nick Richards will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually raises player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Nick Richards has attempted 0.0 3-point shots per game at home this year, putting him in the 6th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Nick Richards has averaged 8.7 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 9th percentile -- seeing the court far less than most players in the league.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games at home.
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Hornets.
When playing on the road, the 76ers have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).