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Naz Reid

Naz Reid Points
Player Prop - 11/14/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Naz Reid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Naz Reid has made an impressive 1.9 three-pointers per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.1 mark last year.

Naz Reid has tallied a measly 1.0 personal fouls per game this season, quite a bit less than his 2.6 fouls per game last season.

This matchup is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Golden State Warriors are on their home court, opposing clubs have averaged the 5th-fewest 3-point attempts per game in the league against them this year (31.3).

The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA as the home team this year.

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Naz Reid has made a lowly 51.0% of his shots from the field this year, a significant dropoff from his 56.7 mark last year.

The Timberwolves rank as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the league away from their home court this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.

This year when they are at home, the other team has snagged 12.8 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Warriors (retaining possessions that can bring about further opportunities for offense).

This matchup is a favorable one for drawing fouls; when the Warriors are away from home, opposing clubs have attempted a monstrous 26.2 free throws per game this year (3rd-most in the NBA).

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