Naji Marshall Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2026

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Naji Marshall

NBA · Player Props

Naji Marshall

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 23, 2026

Updated Mar 23, 2026 10:08 PM EST

Analysis

Naji Marshall Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Naji Marshall has put up 21.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 more than he's put up in all games this season.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Warriors is a good one for three-pointers; opposing starting SFs have posted the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (47.0%).
The 3rd-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Favors Under

The Warriors have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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