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Naji Marshall

Naji Marshall Points
Player Prop - 3/12/2025

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks

Naji Marshall Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Naji Marshall has converted 9.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's made overall this year.

Naji Marshall has averaged 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.3 more than he's averaged in all games this season.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA away from their home court this year.

The 6th-speediest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks.

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Naji Marshall has converted just 25.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this season, quite a bit lower than his 43.2 rate last season.

The matchup against San Antonio is a difficult one; when the Spurs are on their home court, they have given up the 4th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs over the last 5 games (13.0).

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Naji Marshall will likely suffer a drop-off in output in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this game.

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