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Naji Marshall

Naji Marshall Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings

Naji Marshall Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In comparison to last year's 7.2 mark, Naji Marshall's points per game have surged this year to 11.0.

Naji Marshall has averaged 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 5.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home.

The Mavericks check in as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games.

The matchup vs. the Kings is a favorable one for field goals; opposing starting PFs have compiled the 6th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (52.6%).

Naji Marshall will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Naji Marshall has converted a lowly 25.9% of his three-point shots this year, quite a bit lower than his 43.2 mark last year.

The 7th-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

More Naji Marshall Player Props

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