Myles Turner Points - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 1, 2024

Updated Feb 2, 2024 3:57 AM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has logged 16.2 points per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's best by this standard.
Myles Turner has successfully made 2.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 higher than he's made overall this year on the road.
The speediest pace road team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Indiana Pacers.
The Pacers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing clubs have nabbed 10.3 offensive rebounds per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks (reducing possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Myles Turner places in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 3.2 fouls per game this year.
The matchup against Isaiah Hartenstein is a tough one for shots from the field; when Hartenstein is playing at home and matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have made a lowly 4.6 buckets per game (3rd percentile).
The Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Indiana Pacers.
As a team, the Pacers have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe recently: worst in the NBA over the last 5 games, tallying a measly 17.6 foul shots per game.
Myles Turner will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen player production for all stats.