Mikal Bridges Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Mikal Bridges

F · New York Knicks

Points

Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks · Dec 30, 2024

Updated Dec 31, 2024 12:09 AM EST

Analysis

Mikal Bridges Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mikal Bridges has successfully made 8.8 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's made over the course of the season.
Mikal Bridges has made 3.2 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted over the course of the season.
In contrast to last season's 34.8 rate, Mikal Bridges's playing time has increased this season to 39.3 minutes per game.
With respect to offense, the New York Knicks's superb 116.1 points per game when playing on the road measures as the 4th-best in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The New York Knicks are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from facing the 3rd-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Washington Wizards).

Favors Under

The matchup against Washington is a hard one; when the Washington Wizards are at home, they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (10.9).
The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league while playing away from home this year.
The Knicks rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards, struggling to get to the foul line.
Mikal Bridges will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases stat production for all stats.