Mikal Bridges Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Mikal Bridges

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs LA Clippers · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 12:34 AM UTC

Analysis

Mikal Bridges Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mikal Bridges has attempted 15.5 field goals per game when playing away from home since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Mikal Bridges has played 35.0 minutes per game away from home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Nets have been the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league playing at home since the start of last season.
The 10th-most up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.
Among all players in the league, Mikal Bridges comes in at the 92nd percentile for free-throw performance with a a terrific 87.9% rate since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 27.4% on 3-pointers (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Clippers, making this a hard matchup.
The Nets rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have brought down 11.4 offensive boards per game (9th-most in the league) against the LA Clippers (lengthening possessions that can lead to extra opportunities for offense).
The matchup against the Clippers is a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game since the start of last season (12th-least in the league).