Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 23, 2023

Updated Feb 23, 2023 7:02 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-142/+116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 7.8 defensive rebounds per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this standard.
Michael Porter Jr. has played 29.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 81st percentile.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games at home, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Michael Porter Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces player performance for all stats.