Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 7.8 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 3.5 higher than he's tallied overall this year on the road.
Michael Porter Jr. has played 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 5.9 higher than he's played over the course of the season on the road.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to fewer plays for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Michael Porter Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to lowers player performance in all stat categories.