Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2023

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+118/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -149 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has put up 1.2 offensive rebounds per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- near the top of the league in this category.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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