Michael Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 1, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 3:14 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has made 8.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. rates in the 85th percentile for three-pointers drained while on the road, putting up 2.3 per game this year.
Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 35.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 95th percentile.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 5.3 three attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the LA Clippers, designating this as a good matchup.
The 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
The LA Clippers have played at the 8th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets.
The matchup against Los Angeles may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 0.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Clippers have the home court advantage (2nd-least in the NBA).
Michael Porter Jr. will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production across the board.

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