Michael Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 10, 2024

Updated Nov 11, 2024 1:02 AM UTC

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has put up 22.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 higher than he's put up over the course of the season.
Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 4.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season.
In contrast to last season's 32.4 rate, Michael Porter Jr.'s playing time has risen this season to 36.8 minutes per game.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In terms of 3-point attempts, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a tough one; they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.4).
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Denver Nuggets.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted just 1.6 free throws per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting squad (2nd-least in the NBA).

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