Michael Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat · Nov 8, 2024

Updated Nov 8, 2024 10:44 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 52.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 5.8% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.
Michael Porter Jr. has made 4.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year.
Michael Porter Jr. has averaged a terrific 36.9 minutes per game this year, a significant increase from his 32.4 minutes per game last year.
The matchup vs. Miami is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Miami Heat are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.8).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.

Favors Under

The Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.

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