Michael Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 5/16/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · May 16, 2024

Updated May 17, 2024 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 12.8 field goals per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 85th percentile among all players in the league.
Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 2.5 threes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 37.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.4 more than he's been on the court for overall this year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 8th-best in the league while playing on the road with 11.2 offensive boards per game this year.
Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Favors Under

With respect to scoring, the Nuggets's unimpressive 111.4 points per game as the road team comes in as the 10th-lowest in the NBA this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 40.6% on field goal attempts (3rd-weakest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, labeling this as a tough matchup.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.
This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (10th-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, struggling to draw fouls.

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